In 1964 President Lyndon B. Johnson lied to the world by saying that North Vietnamese forces had attacked US destroyers in the Gulf of Tonkin and used the incident as a legal justification to bring American troops into the Vietnam War. The Gulf of Tonkin Incident was a pretext to escalate a war. Six weeks before the Iraq War, President George W Bush revealed to Tony Blair a plan to lure Saddam Hussein into war by flying a U2 reconnaissance aircraft painted in UN colours over Iraq and hoping he would shoot it down. In order to start a war these days it is necessary to appear to be attacked so as to claim the moral high-ground, and if the enemy does not oblige then warmongers resort to deception.
Recently there has been a covert naval build-up in the Persian Gulf. There has been almost no coverage of this build-up at all in the mainstream media leading to speculation that America may now be attempting a new deception in order to trick Iran into ‘starting’ a new war. The build-up has been continuing with with the USS Boxer now joining USS Enterprise and USS Iwo Jima off the Iranian coastline. The reason given for the presence of all this fire-power in the region is military exercises or ‘war games’.
The exercise, set for Oct. 31, is the 25th to be organized under the U.S.-led 66-member Proliferation Security Initiative and the first to be based in the Gulf near Bahrain, across from Iran, the officials said.
A senior U.S. official insisted the exercise is not aimed specifically at Iran, although it reinforces a U.S. strategy aimed at strengthening America’s ties with states in the Gulf, where Tehran and Washington are competing for influence
Iran is justifiably nervous about having this military might off its shore, especially with the American military presence in Iraq on one side and in Afghanistan on the other and with numerous bases within air strike distance in Eastern Europe. With tensions in the region as high as they are, a small incident could escalate into something more serious very quickly. This is known throughout the region which is why we are hearing stories like this:
DUBAI, United Arab Emirates – Coalition naval forces in the Persian Gulf are on watch for possible terror threats to oil facilities in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain, Western naval officials said Friday.
A British navy official, speaking on condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak to the press, said a threat from al-Qaida last month to target gulf oil terminals had resulted in stepped-up security and vigilance at Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura terminal, as well as a refinery in Bahrain.
There has been speculation in some blogs about an ‘October Surprise’ before the American mid-term elections which take place in early November in which the Republicans are expected to do badly. If Bush looses control of the House of Representatives, waging new wars will be that much harder for him… unless of course American forces appear to be attacked. And for Bush war with Iran might be his only option as he is unlikely to get from the UN the kind of sanctions he wants imposed on Iran. This might not be the ‘October Surprise’, but the potential for an incident to occur will be greatly increased by these war games. And let’s not forget that there is also a significant military presence in the Eastern Mediterranean off the coast of Lebanon. German warships have already been threatened by Israeli aircraft. And French UNIFIL troops have complained of the continuous violations of Lebanese airspace by Israel.
Of course this could all be coincidence, there have been rumours of war in Iran for some time now. But the underlying causes for conflict are not going away. This is a fight for the world’s oil resources. I doubt we’ll know for sure what the true intentions of the USA are in the region unless we suddenly hear of an attack on a warship or something similar, but with all the military might in the Gulf firing off rounds in such a tense area, it’s worth being alert.